Bay Breeze Cove is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Bay Breeze Cove typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bay Breeze Cove, ~34% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bay Breeze Cove compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bay Breeze Cove sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 7 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 10 leaning the other way.
Bay Breeze Cove runs about 15 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Bay Breeze Cove sits closer to the political middle.
Why Bay Breeze Cove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bay Breeze Cove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density pulls a place toward Democrats and a high white share pulls it toward Republicans. In Bay Breeze Cove the two roughly cancel. Bay Breeze Cove runs against the grain of Florida, a split-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as Bay Breeze Cove, St. Petersburg, FL does.
Why turnout in Bay Breeze Cove looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bay Breeze Cove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 59% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Edgemoor, St. Petersburg, FL Even
- Northeast Park, St. Petersburg, FL R+8
- Euclid-St Paul, St. Petersburg, FL D+18
- Fossil Park, St. Petersburg, FL D+3
- Meadowlawn, St. Petersburg, FL R+7
- Oakwood Gardens, St. Petersburg, FL D+16
- Harris Park, St. Petersburg, FL D+5
- Historic Old Northeast, St. Petersburg, FL D+23
- Riviera Bay, St. Petersburg, FL R+7
- Historic Uptown, St. Petersburg, FL D+34
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sunnyslope, Riverside, CA Even
- Shady Lane, Columbus, OH D+66
- Kent Heights, East Providence, RI D+7
- Meadows, Boynton Beach, FL D+16
- Gilcrease Hills, Tulsa, OK D+76
- Menominee South, Oshkosh, WI D+17
- Konnoak, Winston-Salem, NC D+38
- Browntown, Wilmington, DE D+71
- Oakwood, Knoxville, TN D+32
- Breen Hills, Kansas City, MO D+7
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.