Bayless Atkins, Lubbock, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Bayless Atkins

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Bayless Atkins leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.

 

About 47% of adults in Bayless Atkins typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayless Atkins, ~22% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Bayless Atkins compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bayless Atkins leans more Republican than 5 of 10 neighbors.

Bayless Atkins runs about 5 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Bayless Atkins. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 38 points.

Why Bayless Atkins leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayless Atkins, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Bayless Atkins votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Bayless Atkins, Lubbock, TX sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Bayless Atkins looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bayless Atkins is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 9 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Bayless Atkins have completed high school, below 73% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.