Waters leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Waters typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Waters, ~23% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Waters compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Waters leans more Republican than 8 of 9 neighbors.
Waters runs about 11 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Waters. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Waters leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Waters. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Waters, Lubbock, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Waters looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Waters is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, about 8 points above the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- University Pines, Lubbock, TX R+27
- Caprock, Lubbock, TX R+18
- Bayless Atkins, Lubbock, TX R+9
- Clapp Park, Lubbock, TX D+6
- Tech Terrace-U.N.I.T., Lubbock, TX D+18
- Wester, Lubbock, TX R+11
- South Overton, Lubbock, TX D+33
- Bowie, Lubbock, TX R+18
- North Overton, Lubbock, TX D+13
- Arnett Benson, Lubbock, TX D+11
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Rogers Park, Fort Collins, CO D+46
- Diamond Heights, San Francisco, CA D+71
- Northeast Heights, Wichita, KS D+48
- Park West, San Diego, CA D+54
- North Lake Waco, Waco, TX R+54
- Bakersville, Manchester, NH D+21
- Lake Ridge, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+17
- Poncey-Highland, Atlanta, GA D+67
- Plaza-Shamrock, Charlotte, NC D+68
- Moncrief Park, Jacksonville, FL D+82
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.