South Overton leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 37% of adults in South Overton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Overton, ~25% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Overton compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, South Overton leans more Democratic than 10 of 11 neighbors.
South Overton runs about 47 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while South Overton is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within South Overton. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+18), a spread of about 18 points.
Why South Overton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Overton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in South Overton live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 93% of adults in South Overton have never been married, in the top fraction of neighborhoods. South Overton runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; South Overton, Lubbock, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in South Overton looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 89% of households in South Overton rent, about 65 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and South Overton sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Overton, Lubbock, TX D+13
- Tech Terrace-U.N.I.T., Lubbock, TX D+18
- Clapp Park, Lubbock, TX D+6
- Arnett Benson, Lubbock, TX D+11
- Caprock, Lubbock, TX R+18
- Bayless Atkins, Lubbock, TX R+9
- Parkway and Cherry Point, Lubbock, TX D+54
- Waters, Lubbock, TX R+25
- Bowie, Lubbock, TX R+18
- Wester, Lubbock, TX R+11
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Downtown Ontario, Ontario, CA D+24
- Northside, Cincinnati, OH D+68
- Athmar Park, Denver, CO D+46
- Piedmont Avenue, Oakland, CA D+84
- Haywood Park, San Mateo, CA D+52
- South Area, Wichita, KS R+19
- Fourth Ward, Houston, TX D+47
- Mount Scott, Portland, OR D+70
- Normandie Heights, Pasadena, CA D+55
- South Oak Park, Sacramento, CA D+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.