Bayview Heights leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 94% of adults in Bayview Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayview Heights, ~50% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayview Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bayview Heights is the least Democratic-leaning.
Politically, Bayview Heights sits close to the rest of Minnesota.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bayview Heights. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Bayview Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayview Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Bayview Heights, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, below 65% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bayview Heights, Proctor, MN sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bayview Heights looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 88% of households in Bayview Heights own their home, about 5 points above the Minnesota average of 82%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Spirit Valley-Denfeld-Norton Park, Duluth, MN D+20
- West End, Duluth, MN D+32
- Duluth Heights, Duluth, MN D+16
- Downtown, Superior, WI D+12
- Downtown Duluth, Duluth, MN D+45
- Kenwood-Duluth, Duluth, MN D+30
- East Hillside, Duluth, MN D+55
- Central Park, Superior, WI D+12
- Congdon Park, Duluth, MN D+53
- Woodlands-Pleasantview, Duluth, MN D+30
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Panama Park, Jacksonville, FL D+41
- Maumee Uptown Historic District, Maumee, OH D+4
- Wester, Lubbock, TX R+11
- Sunset, Boise, ID D+44
- Scioto Trace, Columbus, OH D+19
- Central Northside, Pittsburgh, PA D+74
- Palm Springs, Apache Junction, AZ R+23
- Downtown Fostoria, Fostoria, OH R+15
- Laurelwood, Albuquerque, NM D+18
- Suburban Acres, Norfolk, VA D+36
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.