Bayview is a Democratic stronghold. About 78% of voters here vote Democratic and 22% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Bayview typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayview, ~40% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayview compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bayview leans more Democratic than 17 of 35 neighbors.
Bayview runs about 37 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bayview. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+68) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+43), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Bayview leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Bayview. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bayview, San Francisco, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bayview looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 30% of adults in Bayview report food insecurity, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Silver Terrace, San Francisco, CA D+36
- Visitacion Valley, San Francisco, CA D+36
- Bernal Heights, San Francisco, CA D+78
- St Marys Park, San Francisco, CA D+53
- Potrero, San Francisco, CA D+79
- Excelsior, San Francisco, CA D+39
- Glen Park, San Francisco, CA D+79
- Mission, San Francisco, CA D+72
- Liberty Street Historic District, San Francisco, CA D+81
- Noe Valley, San Francisco, CA D+82
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Hawaii Kai, East Honolulu, HI D+24
- Mount Airy, Philadelphia, PA D+88
- Riverdale, Bronx, NY D+36
- Douglaston-Little Neck, Queens, NY D+3
- Nevada-Lidgerwood, Spokane, WA D+2
- South Gate, Glen Burnie, MD D+32
- Eagle Ford, Dallas, TX D+47
- South End, Boston, MA D+64
- Southeast, Raleigh, NC D+65
- Pennsport-Whitman-Queen, Philadelphia, PA D+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.