Noe Valley is a Democratic stronghold. About 91% of voters here vote Democratic and 9% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Noe Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Noe Valley, ~68% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Noe Valley compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Noe Valley leans more Democratic than 43 of 47 neighbors.
Noe Valley runs about 62 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Noe Valley. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+86) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+69), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Noe Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Noe Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 83% of adults in Noe Valley hold a bachelor's degree, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Noe Valley sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, above 89% of neighborhoods).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Noe Valley, San Francisco, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Noe Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Noe Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Noe Valley have completed high school, above 92% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Diamond Heights, San Francisco, CA D+71
- Liberty Street Historic District, San Francisco, CA D+81
- Castro-Upper Market, San Francisco, CA D+82
- Glen Park, San Francisco, CA D+79
- Twin Peaks, San Francisco, CA D+67
- Bernal Heights, San Francisco, CA D+78
- Mission, San Francisco, CA D+72
- Duboce Triangle, San Francisco, CA D+83
- St Marys Park, San Francisco, CA D+53
- Cole Valley, San Francisco, CA D+82
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Manoa, Honolulu, HI D+44
- San Luis Rey, Oceanside, CA D+11
- Rosedale, Bakersfield, CA R+53
- Mililani Mauka-Launani Valley, Mililani, HI D+16
- Central Arlington, Arlington, TX D+25
- Nob Hill, San Francisco, CA D+62
- Flour Bluff, Corpus Christi, TX R+31
- Mountain View, El Monte, CA D+28
- Rose Hill, Alexandria, VA D+42
- West Baltimore, Baltimore, MD D+82
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.