Belgrade leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Belgrade typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belgrade, ~34% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belgrade compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Belgrade leans more Republican than 3 of 14 neighbors.
Politically, Belgrade sits close to the rest of Montana.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Belgrade. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Belgrade leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belgrade, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Belgrade votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, far above the Montana average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Belgrade, MT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Belgrade looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Belgrade have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Church Hill, MT R+43
- Manhattan, MT R+36
- Francis, MT R+48
- Four Corners, MT R+14
- Bozeman, MT D+21
- Logan, MT R+35
- Anceney, MT R+34
- Three Forks, MT R+46
- Trident, MT R+58
- Maudlow, MT R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Troy, AL R+7
- Bristol, RI D+9
- Norwalk, OH R+34
- Pinole, CA D+39
- Perry, GA R+16
- Shiloh, PA R+20
- Travelers Rest, SC R+50
- Johns Island, SC R+6
- Pleasantville, NJ D+46
- Lynbrook, NY R+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.