Big Bar leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Big Bar typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Big Bar, ~25% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Big Bar compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Big Bar leans more Republican than 5 of 14 neighbors.
Big Bar runs about 28 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Big Bar is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Big Bar. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+17) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Big Bar leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Big Bar, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Big Bar live in densely developed areas, about 56 points below the California average of 58%. Big Bar runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Big Bar, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Big Bar looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 30% of households in Big Bar rent, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 97% of adults in Big Bar have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hyampom, CA R+17
- Junction City, CA R+7
- Burnt Ranch, CA R+11
- Hayfork, CA R+7
- Weaverville, CA R+14
- Salyer, CA R+9
- Douglas City, CA R+25
- Peanut, CA R+4
- Willow Creek, CA D+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Duncan, IA R+52
- Hillerman, IL R+59
- Sharon, IA R+54
- Bradley, MS R+51
- Fosheeton, AL R+71
- Haskingsville, KY R+71
- Hightown, VA R+44
- Jutland, NJ R+8
- Blanchard, IA R+57
- Wild Rice, ND R+31
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.