Hayfork leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Hayfork typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hayfork, ~31% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hayfork compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hayfork leans more Republican than 2 of 14 neighbors.
Hayfork runs about 28 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Hayfork is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hayfork. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+17) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Hayfork leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hayfork, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Hayfork live in densely developed areas, about 53 points below the California average of 58%. Hayfork runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hayfork, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hayfork looks the way it does
Turnout in Hayfork sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Peanut, CA R+4
- Forest Glen, CA R+9
- Wildwood, CA R+8
- Mad River, CA R+20
- Douglas City, CA R+25
- Hyampom, CA R+17
- Platina, CA R+35
- Big Bar, CA R+8
- Junction City, CA R+7
- Dinsmore, CA R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Houston, AK R+45
- Lake Placid, NY D+11
- Eden, UT R+37
- Mount Morris, NY R+26
- Algoma, WI R+23
- Kerhonkson, NY D+4
- Cresco, IA R+24
- Carbondale, CA R+52
- Lake Tansi, TN R+54
- Axton, VA R+28
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.