Big Bend leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Big Bend typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Big Bend, ~17% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Big Bend compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Big Bend leans more Republican than 4 of 15 neighbors.
Big Bend runs about 56 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Big Bend is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Big Bend. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Big Bend leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Big Bend, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Big Bend votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Big Bend runs about 56 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Big Bend sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 79% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Big Bend, CA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Big Bend looks the way it does
Turnout in Big Bend sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Montgomery Creek, CA R+37
- Cayton, CA R+44
- Round Mountain, CA R+37
- Burney, CA R+41
- Johnson Park, CA R+43
- Dana, CA R+43
- Mccloud, CA R+16
- Cassel, CA R+43
- Ingot, CA R+39
- Castella, CA R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dull, OH R+70
- Yolyn, WV R+72
- Morton, AR R+75
- Livonia Center, NY R+35
- North Johns, AL R+73
- Siam, IA R+58
- Lake of the Woods, OR R+49
- Pidcoke, TX R+69
- Lincoln, OR D+2
- Prichard, MS D+9
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.