Birmingham leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Birmingham typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Birmingham, ~27% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Birmingham compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Birmingham leans more Democratic than 1 of 11 neighbors.
Birmingham runs about 23 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while Birmingham is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Birmingham. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the east side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Birmingham leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Birmingham, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Birmingham have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 45%). Birmingham runs against the grain of Ohio, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Birmingham, Toledo, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Birmingham looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Birmingham is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 14 points below the Ohio average of 61%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Birmingham report food insecurity, above 83% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Birmingham sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North River, Toledo, OH D+44
- East Toledo, Toledo, OH D+15
- LaGrange, Toledo, OH D+65
- City Center, Toledo, OH D+58
- Olde Towne, Toledo, OH D+70
- Old West End, Toledo, OH D+75
- Point Place, Toledo, OH R+4
- Roosevelt-Toledo, Toledo, OH D+89
- Onyx, Toledo, OH D+86
- Five Points, Toledo, OH D+28
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bell Hill, Worcester, MA D+36
- Barths, Wheat Ridge, CO D+36
- Dineen Park, Milwaukee, WI D+80
- Rancho San Joaquin, Irvine, CA D+33
- Ladera West, Albuquerque, NM D+15
- 6th Ward, Portsmouth, OH R+46
- Gateway Center, Sacramento, CA D+48
- Stratmoor Hills, Stratmoor, CO R+2
- Bethune Grant, Daytona Beach, FL D+16
- Reed, Portland, OR D+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.