East Toledo, Toledo, OH Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in East Toledo

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

East Toledo leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.

 

About 44% of adults in East Toledo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Toledo, ~26% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How East Toledo compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Toledo leans more Democratic than 1 of 9 neighbors.

East Toledo runs about 27 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while East Toledo is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within East Toledo. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 21 points.

Why East Toledo leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Toledo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

East Toledo votes against the grain of Ohio. Ohio leans Republican overall, while East Toledo runs about 27 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in East Toledo have never been married, above 82% of neighborhoods.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; East Toledo, Toledo, OH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in East Toledo looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Toledo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 16 points below the Ohio average of 61%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in East Toledo report food insecurity, above 88% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and East Toledo sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.