Blue Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Blue Hill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blue Hill, ~9% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blue Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blue Hill leans more Republican than 50 of 73 neighbors.
Blue Hill runs about 40 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Blue Hill. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Blue Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blue Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Blue Hill hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Tennessee average of 22%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Blue Hill, TN does.
Why turnout in Blue Hill looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Blue Hill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 73% of adults in Blue Hill have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Center Hill, TN R+74
- Lucky, TN R+72
- Bethel, TN R+72
- Centertown, TN R+70
- Woodbury, TN R+68
- Pleasant Ridge, TN R+63
- Bethany, TN R+66
- Smithville, TN R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gresham, NE R+68
- Hanley, IA R+44
- Lycoming, NY R+34
- Prewitt, KY R+64
- San Leanna, TX D+40
- Wanakah, NY R+9
- Bronson, KS R+64
- Le Raysville, PA R+61
- Harmonsburg, PA R+41
- Shiloh, VA R+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.