Brawley is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Brawley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Brawley, ~25% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Brawley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Brawley leans more Democratic than 11 of 14 neighbors.
Brawley runs about 16 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Brawley. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+41), a spread of about 55 points.
Why Brawley leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Brawley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Brawley, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Brawley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Brawley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 13 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in Brawley rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Brawley report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Westmorland, CA R+16
- Wiest, CA R+36
- Imperial, CA R+12
- Calipatria, CA R+8
- El Centro, CA D+6
- Holtville, CA R+12
- Meloland, CA R+12
- Heber, CA D+5
- Seeley, CA R+31
- Date City, CA R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Barberton, OH R+10
- Wright, FL R+18
- Walker, MI R+4
- Royse City, TX R+46
- Harvest, AL R+14
- Vernon Hills, IL D+28
- Verona, WI D+45
- Medford, NY R+10
- Commack, NY R+18
- Camp Hill, PA D+10
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.