Buckhorn leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 27% of adults in Buckhorn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buckhorn, ~14% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~73% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buckhorn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buckhorn leans more Democratic than 14 of 45 neighbors.
Buckhorn runs about 14 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buckhorn. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Buckhorn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buckhorn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 40% of adults in Buckhorn have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 25%).
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Buckhorn, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Buckhorn looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Buckhorn is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 64% of households in Buckhorn rent, compared to around 31% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Buckhorn report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Piru, CA D+14
- Fillmore, CA D+5
- North Fillmore, CA R+10
- Sespe, CA R+8
- Virginia Colony, CA R+7
- Moorpark, CA D+8
- Simi Valley, CA Even
- Castaic, CA R+7
- Moorpark Home Acres, CA R+13
- Stevenson Ranch, CA D+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Garland, AL R+48
- Mayhew, MS D+32
- Seebert, WV R+51
- Waterloo, KS R+65
- Moody, NY R+19
- Montford, VA R+21
- Bush, KY R+72
- Mills, NE R+82
- Millsfield, TN R+73
- Locust Run, PA R+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.