Burlington leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Burlington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Burlington, ~27% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Burlington compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Burlington leans more Republican than 57 of 136 neighbors.
Politically, Burlington sits close to the rest of Kentucky.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Burlington. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Burlington leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Burlington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Burlington votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 61%, far above the Kentucky average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Burlington are family households, above 76% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Burlington, KY sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Burlington looks the way it does
Turnout in Burlington sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Constance, KY R+33
- Florence, KY R+19
- Hebron, KY R+35
- Union, KY R+28
- Petersburg, KY R+51
- Elsmere, KY R+16
- Erlanger, KY R+14
- Villa Hills, KY R+21
- Crestview Hills, KY R+11
- Crescent Springs, KY R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hinsdale, IL D+12
- Auburn, ME Even
- Harrison Township, MI R+11
- Farragut, TN R+23
- Medford, NJ R+3
- Chantilly, VA D+21
- Harrisburg, NC R+4
- Manvel, TX D+5
- Canton, MA D+26
- Abingdon, VA R+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.