Calais leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 91% of adults in Calais typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Calais, ~56% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Calais compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Calais leans more Democratic than 74 of 83 neighbors.
Calais runs about 8 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Calais. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Calais leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Calais, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 56% of adults in Calais hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Calais have never been married, above 76% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Calais, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Calais looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Calais is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Calais own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Adamant, VT D+23
- Worcester, VT D+26
- East Calais, VT D+18
- Woodbury, VT D+11
- Marshfield, VT D+12
- Wrightsville, VT D+22
- Lower Cabot, VT D+18
- East Montpelier, VT D+23
- Montpelier, VT D+42
- Plainfield, VT D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wascott, WI R+13
- Bagwell, TX R+79
- Sunny View, NC R+52
- Frost Town, LA R+85
- Slick, OK R+68
- Cassell, OH R+58
- West Rosendale, WI R+41
- Mc Andrews, KY R+70
- Limerick, NY R+24
- Nepton, KY R+59
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.