Canaan leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 88% of adults in Canaan typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Canaan, ~31% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Canaan compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Canaan leans more Republican than 8 of 24 neighbors.
Canaan runs about 63 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Canaan is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Canaan leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Canaan, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Canaan, about 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points below the Vermont average of 41%. Canaan runs against the grain of Vermont, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Canaan, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Canaan looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Canaan own their home, about 9 points above the Vermont average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Stewartstown, NH R+40
- Beecher Falls, VT R+30
- Averill, VT R+29
- Stewartstown Hollow, NH R+39
- Stewartstown, NH R+39
- Clarksville, NH R+36
- Colebrook, NH R+35
- Pittsburg, NH R+39
- Norton, VT R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ward Springs, MN R+56
- Paloma, CA R+40
- Hardwick, GA D+15
- Poland Spring, ME R+23
- Putnam, IL R+30
- Syria, IN R+61
- Mayetta, NJ R+32
- Manassas, GA R+52
- Lakeside, OH R+17
- Rochester, OH R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.