Canyon Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Canyon Creek typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Canyon Creek, ~18% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Canyon Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Canyon Creek leans more Republican than 9 of 14 neighbors.
Canyon Creek runs about 22 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Canyon Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Canyon Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Canyon Creek live in densely developed areas, about 11 points below the Montana average of 13%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Canyon Creek are family households, above 78% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Canyon Creek, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Canyon Creek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Canyon Creek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Canyon Creek own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Canyon Creek have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Marysville, MT R+42
- Helena Valley Northwest, MT R+38
- Fort Harrison, MT R+15
- Helena Valley West Central, MT R+16
- Helena Valley Northeast, MT R+37
- Helena West Side, MT D+14
- Helena, MT D+17
- Wolf Creek, MT R+44
- Elliston, MT R+51
- Helena Valley Southeast, MT R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cherry Creek, SD D+37
- Huffines, TX R+78
- Hanson, OK R+68
- Hamricks Corner, OR R+36
- Rucker, MO R+51
- Bellmont, IL R+67
- Mullinville, KS R+77
- Spring Lake, NY R+42
- Willow Point, TX R+77
- Mount Hope, MO R+60
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.