Helena Valley Northeast, MT Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Helena Valley Northeast

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Helena Valley Northeast leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.

 

About 86% of adults in Helena Valley Northeast typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Helena Valley Northeast, ~27% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Helena Valley Northeast compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Helena Valley Northeast leans more Republican than 9 of 16 neighbors.

Helena Valley Northeast runs about 17 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Helena Valley Northeast. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 13 points.

Why Helena Valley Northeast leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Helena Valley Northeast, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in Helena Valley Northeast are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Helena Valley Northeast, MT sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Helena Valley Northeast looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 98% of households in Helena Valley Northeast own their home, about 21 points above the Montana average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.