Carrolltown leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Carrolltown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carrolltown, ~20% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carrolltown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carrolltown leans more Republican than 42 of 162 neighbors.
Carrolltown runs about 48 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carrolltown. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Carrolltown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carrolltown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Carrolltown drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Carrolltown, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Carrolltown looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Carrolltown own their home, about 12 points above the Pennsylvania average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Benedict, PA R+58
- Elmora, PA R+60
- Spangler, PA R+60
- Eckenrode Mill, PA R+52
- Patton, PA R+49
- Hastings, PA R+52
- Nicktown, PA R+64
- Colver, PA R+48
- Northern Cambria, PA R+47
- Marsteller, PA R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dupont, PA R+15
- Advance, MO R+66
- Twisp, WA D+8
- Poindexters, VA R+9
- Schaghticoke, NY R+31
- Pioneer Village, KY R+41
- Puryear, TN R+67
- Westphalia, MI R+45
- Village of Four Seasons, MO R+38
- Fulcher Landing, NC R+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.