Carterville leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 29% of adults in Carterville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carterville, ~12% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~71% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carterville compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Carterville leans more Republican than 5 of 15 neighbors.
Carterville runs about 7 points more Democratic than Utah as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Carterville. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+23) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Carterville leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Carterville. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Carterville, Provo, UT does.
Why turnout in Carterville looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 91% of households in Carterville rent, about 66 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 98% of adults in Carterville have completed high school, above 86% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Park, Provo, UT R+15
- Joaquin, Provo, UT R+9
- Tree Streets, Provo, UT R+3
- Dixon, Provo, UT R+14
- Franklin South, Provo, UT R+10
- Provost, Provo, UT R+14
- Westmore, Orem, UT R+18
- Lakeview North, Provo, UT R+24
- Lakeview, Orem, UT R+18
- Provo South, Provo, UT R+16
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Crescenta Highlands, La Crescenta, CA D+22
- East Forest, Charlotte, NC D+48
- Ponderosa Park, Sunnyvale, CA D+34
- Lowry Park Central, Tampa, FL D+3
- Stadium-Armory, Washington, DC D+85
- Magnolia Center, Riverside, CA D+8
- Springfield-Belmont, Newark, NJ D+77
- North Plymouth, Plymouth, MA D+16
- West Pullman, Chicago, IL D+82
- Fremont, Seattle, WA D+79
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.