Joaquin leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 27% of adults in Joaquin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Joaquin, ~12% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~73% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Joaquin compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Joaquin leans more Republican than 1 of 12 neighbors.
Joaquin runs about 13 points more Democratic than Utah as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Joaquin. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Joaquin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Joaquin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Joaquin votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Utah average of 32%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Joaquin, Provo, UT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Joaquin looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 94% of households in Joaquin rent, about 69 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 13% of homes in Joaquin have more than one occupant per room, above 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Tree Streets, Provo, UT R+3
- North Park, Provo, UT R+15
- Carterville, Provo, UT R+15
- Provost, Provo, UT R+14
- Dixon, Provo, UT R+14
- Franklin South, Provo, UT R+10
- Provo South, Provo, UT R+16
- Lakeview North, Provo, UT R+24
- Westmore, Orem, UT R+18
- Lakeview, Orem, UT R+18
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sunrise Golf Village East, Sunrise, FL D+52
- Pleasant Valley, Portland, OR D+21
- Mariposa, Glendale, CA D+9
- Grove Park, Atlanta, GA D+85
- Western Branch South, Chesapeake, VA D+18
- Central Omaha, Omaha, NE D+24
- Rose Garden, San Jose, CA D+46
- Englewood, Chicago, IL D+80
- Spuyten Duyvil, Bronx, NY D+49
- Back Creek Church Road, Charlotte, NC D+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.