North Carver leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 97% of adults in North Carver typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Carver, ~46% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Carver compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Carver leans more Republican than 73 of 104 neighbors.
North Carver runs about 30 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole. Massachusetts leans Democratic overall, while North Carver is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Carver. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 26 points.
Why North Carver leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Carver, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Carver votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 32%, well below the Massachusetts average of 50%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in North Carver are family households, above 94% of cities. North Carver runs against the grain of Massachusetts, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; North Carver, MA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in North Carver looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. North Carver is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in North Carver own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in North Carver have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carver, MA R+15
- Plympton, MA R+14
- Kingston, MA D+4
- Middleborough, MA R+17
- Middleboro, MA R+12
- South Carver, MA R+5
- Halifax, MA R+14
- Tihonet, MA R+14
- Chiltonville, MA R+5
- Plymouth, MA D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Genito, VA R+47
- Mason, WI R+24
- Springboro, PA R+55
- Riverton, KS R+63
- Sodus, MI R+29
- Hooper Bay, AK D+22
- Doe Run, MO R+62
- Redington Beach, FL R+26
- Livingston, GA R+62
- Oakland, TX R+75
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.