Cave Creek leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Cave Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cave Creek, ~36% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cave Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cave Creek leans more Republican than 12 of 17 neighbors.
Cave Creek runs about 17 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cave Creek. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Cave Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cave Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cave Creek votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 83%, far above the Arizona average of 39%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cave Creek, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Cave Creek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cave Creek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Cave Creek own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Cave Creek have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carefree, AZ R+26
- New River, AZ R+44
- Anthem, AZ R+24
- Scottsdale, AZ R+3
- Paradise Valley, AZ R+15
- Rio Verde, AZ R+26
- Fountain Hills, AZ R+21
- Glendale, AZ D+3
- Peoria, AZ R+16
- Phoenix, AZ Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bethany, OR D+39
- Stafford, TX D+29
- Raytown, MO D+31
- Fitchburg, WI D+53
- Newberg, OR D+6
- Ballston Spa, NY Even
- Franklin, IN R+40
- Athens, OH D+41
- Summerlin South, NV Even
- Jacksonville Beach, FL R+19
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.