Cedar County is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Cedar County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cedar County, ~14% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cedar County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Cedar County leans more Republican than 8 of 11 neighbors.
Cedar County runs about 46 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Cedar County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Cedar County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cedar County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 10% of residents in Cedar County live in densely developed areas, about 12 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Cedar County fits that profile on both counts.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Cedar County, MO sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cedar County looks the way it does
Turnout in Cedar County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- St. Clair County, MO R+64
- Dade County, MO R+67
- Vernon County, MO R+56
- Polk County, MO R+61
- Barton County, MO R+65
- Hickory County, MO R+62
- Bates County, MO R+60
- Henry County, MO R+54
- Dallas County, MO R+66
- Bourbon County, KS R+48
Counties with Similar Populations
- Rusk County, WI R+38
- Gulf County, FL R+56
- Franklin County, ID R+77
- O'Brien County, IA R+54
- Choctaw County, OK R+54
- Claiborne Parish, LA R+11
- Massac County, IL R+46
- Smith County, MS R+59
- Estill County, KY R+63
- Atoka County, OK R+69
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.