Central Carrollton leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Central Carrollton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central Carrollton, ~28% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Central Carrollton compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Central Carrollton leans more Democratic than 2 of 7 neighbors.
Central Carrollton runs about 22 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Central Carrollton is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Central Carrollton. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Central Carrollton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central Carrollton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Central Carrollton is about 29%, about 43 points below the U.S. average of 72%. Central Carrollton runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Central Carrollton, Carrollton, TX sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Central Carrollton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Central Carrollton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Northwest Dallas, Dallas, TX D+11
- Original Town, Carrollton, TX D+13
- Southwest Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+13
- North Central Dallas, Carrollton, TX D+8
- Far North Dallas-Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+11
- Northeast Dallas, Carrollton, TX D+4
- Valley Ranch, Irving, TX D+20
- Far North Dallas, Dallas, TX D+21
- Preston Hollow, Dallas, TX D+17
- The Ws, The Colony, TX R+9
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Union-Miles Park, Cleveland, OH D+87
- Rancho Sahuarita, Sahuarita, AZ R+5
- Fairview, Camden, NJ D+55
- Cherry Hill, Brooklyn, MD D+82
- Chinatown, Philadelphia, PA D+61
- Woodley Park, Washington, DC D+80
- Northgate, San Rafael, CA D+41
- Downtown St Petersburg, St. Petersburg, FL D+15
- Downtown, Baltimore, MD D+75
- Beechmont, Louisville, KY D+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.