North Central Dallas leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 58% of adults in North Central Dallas typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Central Dallas, ~31% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Central Dallas compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, North Central Dallas leans more Democratic than 1 of 6 neighbors.
North Central Dallas runs about 21 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while North Central Dallas is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Central Dallas. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+18) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 18 points.
Why North Central Dallas leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Central Dallas, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Central Dallas votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while North Central Dallas runs about 21 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; North Central Dallas, Carrollton, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in North Central Dallas looks the way it does
Turnout in North Central Dallas sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Northeast Dallas, Carrollton, TX D+4
- Northwest Dallas, Dallas, TX D+11
- Far North Dallas-Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+11
- Central Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+8
- Southwest Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+13
- Original Town, Carrollton, TX D+13
- The Ws, The Colony, TX R+9
- Far North Dallas, Dallas, TX D+21
- Valley Ranch, Irving, TX D+20
- The Canal on Preston, Plano, TX D+8
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Gage Park, Chicago, IL D+39
- South Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA D+22
- Howard Beach, Queens, NY R+29
- Bridgeport, Chicago, IL D+27
- North End, Tacoma, WA D+58
- Roxborough, Philadelphia, PA D+40
- West Englewood, Chicago, IL D+79
- North Austin, Austin, TX D+48
- Greater Landover, Landover, MD D+78
- Academy Gardens, Philadelphia, PA D+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.