Southwest Carrollton leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Southwest Carrollton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Southwest Carrollton, ~28% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Southwest Carrollton compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Southwest Carrollton leans more Democratic than 6 of 7 neighbors.
Southwest Carrollton runs about 27 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Southwest Carrollton is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Southwest Carrollton. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Southwest Carrollton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Southwest Carrollton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Southwest Carrollton votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Southwest Carrollton runs about 27 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Southwest Carrollton, Carrollton, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Southwest Carrollton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Southwest Carrollton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Central Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+8
- Far North Dallas-Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+11
- Original Town, Carrollton, TX D+13
- Far North Dallas, Dallas, TX D+21
- North Central Dallas, Carrollton, TX D+8
- Northwest Dallas, Dallas, TX D+11
- Northeast Dallas, Carrollton, TX D+4
- Preston Hollow, Dallas, TX D+17
- Valley Ranch, Irving, TX D+20
- Far North Dallas-Richardson, Richardson, TX D+29
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Live Oak, Santa Cruz, CA D+50
- Crocker Amazon, San Francisco, CA D+34
- College Hill, Cincinnati, OH D+61
- McCullough Hills, Henderson, NV D+4
- Audubon, New Orleans, LA D+39
- Great Northwest, San Antonio, TX D+10
- Adams Morgan, Washington, DC D+83
- Sabre Springs, San Diego, CA D+20
- East Central, Salt Lake City, UT D+68
- Civic Center, Stockton, CA D+34
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.