Rancho Sahuarita is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Rancho Sahuarita typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rancho Sahuarita, ~36% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rancho Sahuarita compares
Politically, Rancho Sahuarita sits close to the rest of Arizona.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Rancho Sahuarita. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+30), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Rancho Sahuarita leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Rancho Sahuarita. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Rancho Sahuarita, Sahuarita, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Rancho Sahuarita looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 85% of households in Rancho Sahuarita own their home, about 12 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Union-Miles Park, Cleveland, OH D+87
- Fairview, Camden, NJ D+55
- Cherry Hill, Brooklyn, MD D+82
- Central Carrollton, Carrollton, TX D+8
- Woodley Park, Washington, DC D+80
- Downtown St Petersburg, St. Petersburg, FL D+15
- Chinatown, Philadelphia, PA D+61
- Downtown, Baltimore, MD D+75
- Northgate, San Rafael, CA D+41
- Beechmont, Louisville, KY D+24
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.