Ceres, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Ceres

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Ceres leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.

 

About 42% of adults in Ceres typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ceres, ~20% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Ceres compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Ceres leans more Republican than 4 of 35 neighbors.

Ceres runs about 25 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Ceres is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ceres. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 34 points.

Why Ceres leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ceres, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Ceres votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 89%, far above the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Ceres sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 86% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Ceres are family households, above 86% of cities.

High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Ceres, CA does.

Why turnout in Ceres looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ceres is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Ceres rent, above 91% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in Ceres report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.