Denair leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Denair typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Denair, ~20% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Denair compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Denair leans more Republican than 26 of 34 neighbors.
Denair runs about 63 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Denair is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Denair. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Denair leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Denair, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Denair votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Denair runs about 63 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Denair runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Denair are family households, above 88% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Denair, CA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Denair looks the way it does
Turnout in Denair sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Turlock, CA R+13
- Hughson, CA R+33
- Ballico, CA R+39
- Keyes, CA R+16
- Delhi, CA R+5
- Hickman, CA R+56
- Waterford, CA R+30
- Irwin, CA R+60
- Hilmar, CA R+48
- Empire, CA R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dalton, MA D+18
- Eliot, ME Even
- Delmar, MD R+6
- Pipersville, PA R+9
- Indian River Estates, FL R+34
- Bedford Hills, NY D+17
- West Nyack, NY R+8
- Ada, OH R+25
- Green Knoll, NJ D+6
- Snow Camp, NC R+53
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.