Cherry Valley leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Cherry Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cherry Valley, ~24% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cherry Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cherry Valley leans more Republican than 50 of 57 neighbors.
Cherry Valley runs about 47 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Cherry Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cherry Valley. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Cherry Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cherry Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cherry Valley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 52%, modestly below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Cherry Valley runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Cherry Valley, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cherry Valley looks the way it does
Turnout in Cherry Valley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Beaumont, CA R+13
- Oak Glen, CA R+36
- Calimesa, CA R+29
- Banning, CA R+4
- Yucaipa, CA R+29
- Forest Falls, CA R+21
- Moreno, CA R+34
- Mentone, CA R+18
- Cabazon, CA R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Williamsport, PA R+27
- Lakeland, GA R+39
- West Jefferson, NC R+46
- Manteo, NC R+27
- Carlyss, LA R+68
- West Milton, OH R+49
- Laingsburg, MI R+24
- Penns Grove, NJ D+32
- Dequincy, LA R+63
- Fort Dix, NJ D+9
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.