Chicago Lawn is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Chicago Lawn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chicago Lawn, ~32% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chicago Lawn compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Chicago Lawn leans more Democratic than 22 of 37 neighbors.
Chicago Lawn runs about 47 points more Democratic than Illinois as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Chicago Lawn. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+76) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+43), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Chicago Lawn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chicago Lawn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Chicago Lawn is about 3%, about 69 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in Chicago Lawn have never been married, above 76% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Chicago Lawn, Chicago, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Chicago Lawn looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Chicago Lawn is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 17 points below the Illinois average of 63%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 40% of adults in Chicago Lawn report food insecurity, above 93% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 73% of adults in Chicago Lawn have completed high school, below 92% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Garfield Manor, Chicago, IL D+38
- Gage Park, Chicago, IL D+39
- West Lawn, Chicago, IL D+32
- West Englewood, Chicago, IL D+79
- West Elsdon, Chicago, IL D+28
- Ashburn, Chicago, IL D+56
- Clarkdale, Chicago, IL D+48
- South Englewood, Chicago, IL D+83
- New City, Chicago, IL D+54
- Back of the Yards, Chicago, IL D+46
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- South of Market, San Francisco, CA D+61
- Beverly Glen, Studio City, CA D+40
- Southeast, Anaheim, CA D+19
- Southside, Fort Worth, TX D+36
- Hoover, Fresno, CA D+12
- Downtown Jersey City, Jersey City, NJ D+58
- Greenville, Jersey City, NJ D+51
- Preston Hollow, Dallas, TX D+17
- West Columbus Interim, Hilliard, OH D+9
- Central East Denver, Denver, CO D+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.