Cielo Vista South leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Cielo Vista South typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cielo Vista South, ~39% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cielo Vista South compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Cielo Vista South leans more Democratic than 2 of 6 neighbors.
Cielo Vista South runs about 34 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Cielo Vista South is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Cielo Vista South. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+14), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Cielo Vista South leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cielo Vista South, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Cielo Vista South live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Cielo Vista South runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Cielo Vista South, El Paso, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cielo Vista South looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cielo Vista South is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Stonehaven, El Paso, TX D+14
- Album Park, El Paso, TX D+19
- El Paso Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+26
- Thomas Manor, El Paso, TX D+29
- Central, El Paso, TX D+26
- Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+27
- East Side, El Paso, TX D+18
- Save The Valley 21, El Paso, TX D+28
- Angels Triangle, El Paso, TX D+22
- Mission Hills, El Paso, TX D+27
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bowman, Louisville, KY D+19
- Lakeshore, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- Midtown, Oklahoma City, OK D+40
- Thornwood, South Elgin, IL R+4
- Maple High-Six Corners, Springfield, MA D+44
- Highlands, Manchester, NH D+11
- Spring Creek, San Antonio, TX D+2
- The Lanes, Waltham, MA D+29
- Center City, Midland, MI D+5
- Cumberland, Greensboro, NC D+92
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.