Central, El Paso, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Central

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Central leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.

 

About 39% of adults in Central typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central, ~25% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Central compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Central leans more Democratic than 2 of 3 neighbors.

Central runs about 39 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Central is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Central. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+32) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 30 points.

Why Central leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Central votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Central runs about 39 points more Democratic.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Central, El Paso, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Central looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Central is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 14 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 71% of adults in Central have completed high school, below 94% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.