El Paso Lower Valley leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 40% of adults in El Paso Lower Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in El Paso Lower Valley, ~25% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How El Paso Lower Valley compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, El Paso Lower Valley leans more Democratic than 3 of 6 neighbors.
El Paso Lower Valley runs about 39 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while El Paso Lower Valley is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why El Paso Lower Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for El Paso Lower Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
El Paso Lower Valley votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while El Paso Lower Valley runs about 39 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; El Paso Lower Valley, El Paso, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in El Paso Lower Valley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. El Paso Lower Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 18 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 59% of adults in El Paso Lower Valley have completed high school, below 98% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Thomas Manor, El Paso, TX D+29
- Stonehaven, El Paso, TX D+14
- Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+27
- Cielo Vista South, El Paso, TX D+20
- Save The Valley 21, El Paso, TX D+28
- Album Park, El Paso, TX D+19
- Central, El Paso, TX D+26
- East Side, El Paso, TX D+18
- Ysleta Mission Valley, El Paso, TX D+24
- Mission Hills, El Paso, TX D+27
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Medical District, Memphis, TN D+71
- Glacier View, Everett, WA D+16
- Eden Isle, Horizon West, FL R+6
- Westwood, Pittsburgh, PA D+20
- Sunny Slope, San Antonio, TX D+35
- Wortendyke, Midland Park, NJ R+2
- Wildes Corner, Warwick, RI D+3
- Lindley Park, Greensboro, NC D+52
- Crooked River Ranch, Terrebonne, OR R+43
- Olde Providence North, Charlotte, NC D+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.