Thomas Manor leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Thomas Manor typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Thomas Manor, ~32% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Thomas Manor compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Thomas Manor is the most Democratic-leaning.
Thomas Manor runs about 43 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Thomas Manor is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Thomas Manor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Thomas Manor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Thomas Manor votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Thomas Manor runs about 43 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Thomas Manor, El Paso, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Thomas Manor looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Thomas Manor is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 69% of adults in Thomas Manor have completed high school, below 95% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- El Paso Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+26
- Lower Valley, El Paso, TX D+27
- Save The Valley 21, El Paso, TX D+28
- Stonehaven, El Paso, TX D+14
- Cielo Vista South, El Paso, TX D+20
- Album Park, El Paso, TX D+19
- Ysleta Mission Valley, El Paso, TX D+24
- East Side, El Paso, TX D+18
- Central, El Paso, TX D+26
- Las Tierras, El Paso, TX D+14
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Sobrante Park, Oakland, CA D+52
- Prairie-Piper-KC-KS, Kansas City, KS R+7
- Strathmore, Syracuse, NY D+48
- Cutten, Eureka, CA D+16
- Jacobs, Louisville, KY D+53
- Pettit-Rudisill, Fort Wayne, IN D+61
- El Cerritos, San Diego, CA D+48
- Village at North Hills, Northglenn, CO D+18
- Rose Village, Vancouver, WA D+30
- Fishkorn, Detroit, MI D+87
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.