Clinton leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Clinton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clinton, ~17% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clinton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clinton leans more Republican than 5 of 25 neighbors.
Clinton runs about 41 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Clinton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clinton. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Clinton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clinton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Clinton votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Clinton runs about 41 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Clinton is about 94%, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 72%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Clinton, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Clinton looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Clinton is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lagoona Beach, MN R+31
- Graceville, MN R+44
- Ortonville, MN R+28
- Shady Beach, SD R+53
- Big Stone City, SD R+54
- Barry, MN R+41
- Hartford Beach, SD R+52
- Johnson, MN R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cambridge, ID R+75
- Raymondville, MO R+69
- Hayesville, OH R+58
- Caryville, FL R+61
- Peterson, MN R+32
- Wyndale, VA R+61
- Kings Station, NY D+5
- Dewar, OK R+58
- Rentiesville, OK R+63
- Eckford, MI R+50
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.