Graceville leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Graceville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Graceville, ~14% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Graceville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Graceville leans more Republican than 12 of 24 neighbors.
Graceville runs about 48 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Graceville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Graceville. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Graceville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Graceville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Graceville votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Graceville runs about 48 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Graceville, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Graceville looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 36% of households in Graceville rent, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Graceville sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Barry, MN R+41
- Johnson, MN R+47
- Clinton, MN R+37
- Dumont, MN R+54
- Bonanza Grove, MN R+50
- Chokio, MN R+47
- Beardsley, MN R+30
- Lagoona Beach, MN R+31
- Shady Beach, SD R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Portsville, DE R+52
- Monroe, NH R+20
- Rappahannock Academy, VA R+15
- Neva Corners, WI R+50
- Crooked Oak, AL R+76
- Conway, KY R+66
- Collettsville, NC R+63
- Robtown, OH R+56
- Sportsmen Acres, OK R+57
- Roxbury, VT Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.