Clinton leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Clinton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clinton, ~28% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clinton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clinton leans more Republican than 6 of 13 neighbors.
Clinton runs about 4 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clinton. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Clinton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clinton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Clinton live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Clinton, MT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Clinton looks the way it does
Turnout in Clinton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bonner, MT R+22
- Turah, MT R+44
- Twin Creeks, MT R+13
- Potomac, MT R+31
- Milltown, MT R+3
- Ravenna, MT R+44
- Missoula, MT D+25
- Orchard Homes, MT D+3
- Lolo, MT R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chrisman, IL R+55
- Vader, WA R+35
- Oberlin, KS R+62
- Yoncalla, OR R+41
- Conway, NC R+12
- North Rose, NY R+33
- Laurel Hollow, NY R+15
- Townsend, FL R+54
- Maple Plain, MN R+5
- Beach Haven, NJ R+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.