Twin Creeks, MT Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Twin Creeks

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Twin Creeks leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.

 

About 77% of adults in Twin Creeks typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Twin Creeks, ~34% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Twin Creeks compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Twin Creeks leans more Republican than 4 of 15 neighbors.

Twin Creeks runs about 7 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Twin Creeks. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 42 points.

Why Twin Creeks leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Twin Creeks, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Twin Creeks live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Montana average of 13%.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Twin Creeks, MT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Twin Creeks looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Twin Creeks is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in Twin Creeks own their home, above 80% of cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Twin Creeks have completed high school, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.