Coconino County leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Coconino County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coconino County, ~41% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Coconino County compares
Coconino County runs about 27 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Coconino County is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Coconino County. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+52) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+33), a spread of about 85 points.
Why Coconino County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coconino County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in Coconino County hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 45% of adults in Coconino County have never been married, above 97% of counties. Coconino County runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Coconino County, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Coconino County looks the way it does
Turnout in Coconino County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Yavapai County, AZ R+22
- Navajo County, AZ R+3
- Gila County, AZ R+27
- Kane County, UT R+59
- Apache County, AZ D+30
- Maricopa County, AZ D+3
- Mohave County, AZ R+37
- Washington County, UT R+51
- Garfield County, UT R+63
- Pinal County, AZ R+16
Counties with Similar Populations
- Kaufman County, TX R+29
- Rock Island County, IL D+12
- Douglas County, GA D+28
- Sussex County, NJ R+23
- Randolph County, NC R+46
- Coweta County, GA R+27
- Rowan County, NC R+27
- Lebanon County, PA R+31
- Jackson County, MS R+30
- Taylor County, TX R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.