Yavapai County leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Yavapai County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Yavapai County, ~31% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Yavapai County compares
Yavapai County runs about 17 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Yavapai County. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+47), a spread of about 48 points.
Why Yavapai County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Yavapai County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Yavapai County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 47%, modestly above the Arizona average of 39%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Yavapai County, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Yavapai County looks the way it does
Turnout in Yavapai County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Coconino County, AZ D+21
- Maricopa County, AZ D+3
- Gila County, AZ R+27
- Pinal County, AZ R+16
- Mohave County, AZ R+37
- Navajo County, AZ R+3
- La Paz County, AZ R+28
- Kane County, UT R+59
- Apache County, AZ D+30
- Pima County, AZ D+16
Counties with Similar Populations
- Saratoga County, NY Even
- Sussex County, DE R+12
- Caddo Parish, LA D+18
- Norfolk City, VA D+44
- Union County, NC R+20
- Brazos County, TX D+6
- Arlington County, VA D+57
- Smith County, TX R+28
- Lake County, OH R+11
- Oneida County, NY R+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.