Cole Valley is a Democratic stronghold. About 91% of voters here vote Democratic and 9% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Cole Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cole Valley, ~67% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cole Valley compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Cole Valley leans more Democratic than 44 of 45 neighbors.
Cole Valley runs about 62 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Cole Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cole Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 85% of adults in Cole Valley hold a bachelor's degree, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 52% of adults in Cole Valley have never been married, above 85% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cole Valley, San Francisco, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Cole Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cole Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Cole Valley have completed high school, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Haight-Ashbury, San Francisco, CA D+82
- Castro-Upper Market, San Francisco, CA D+82
- Twin Peaks, San Francisco, CA D+67
- Inner Sunset, San Francisco, CA D+72
- Duboce Triangle, San Francisco, CA D+83
- Diamond Heights, San Francisco, CA D+71
- Inner Richmond, San Francisco, CA D+68
- Noe Valley, San Francisco, CA D+82
- Western Addition, San Francisco, CA D+73
- Presidio Heights, San Francisco, CA D+72
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Village de L'Est, New Orleans, LA D+50
- Richmond, Lehigh Acres, FL R+11
- Wright Area, Santa Rosa, CA D+29
- Northgate, Colorado Springs, CO R+17
- Scott Park, Toledo, OH D+61
- Morgandale, Milwaukee, WI D+25
- Broadmeadow Brook, Worcester, MA D+25
- Glenwood, Glendale, CA D+12
- Windsor Park, Austin, TX D+59
- Jefferson Park, Chicago, IL D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.