Richmond leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Richmond typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Richmond, ~25% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Richmond compares
Richmond sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Politically, Richmond sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Richmond. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Richmond leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Richmond, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 15% of adults in Richmond hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Florida average of 31%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Richmond are family households, above 80% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Richmond, Lehigh Acres, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Richmond looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Richmond is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 7 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Richmond have completed high school, below 80% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Harris, Lehigh Acres, FL R+8
- Sunshine, Lehigh Acres, FL D+6
- Arborwood, Fort Myers, FL R+23
- Tice, Fort Myers, FL D+10
- Winkler Safe Neighborhood, Fort Myers, FL D+18
- Fort Myers Villas, Villas, FL R+17
- Mariner, Cape Coral, FL R+31
- Pelican, Cape Coral, FL R+31
- Orangetree, Naples, FL R+28
- Summit Place in Naples, Naples, FL R+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Village de L'Est, New Orleans, LA D+50
- Wright Area, Santa Rosa, CA D+29
- Cole Valley, San Francisco, CA D+82
- Northgate, Colorado Springs, CO R+17
- Scott Park, Toledo, OH D+61
- Broadmeadow Brook, Worcester, MA D+25
- Morgandale, Milwaukee, WI D+25
- Windsor Park, Austin, TX D+59
- Mineral Springs-Rumble Road, Charlotte, NC D+62
- Petosky-Otsego, Detroit, MI D+86
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.