Montrose leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 30% of adults in Montrose typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Montrose, ~7% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~70% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Montrose compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Montrose leans more Republican than 20 of 36 neighbors.
Montrose runs about 19 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Montrose. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+87) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 70 points.
Why Montrose leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Montrose, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Montrose live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Montrose sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 94% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Montrose are family households, above 84% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Montrose, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Montrose looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Montrose is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Montrose report food insecurity, above 86% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in Montrose have completed high school, below 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Macon Lake, AR R+48
- Dermott, AR D+33
- Bellaire, AR R+57
- Halley Junction, AR R+29
- Collins, AR R+41
- Portland, AR R+31
- Thebes, AR R+84
- Lake Village, AR R+11
- Halley, AR R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Santa Clara, TX R+41
- Cheshire Center, MI R+35
- Burneyville, OK R+69
- Grizzly, OR R+54
- Golf, FL R+14
- Alma, WI R+28
- New Hope, KY R+62
- Yonkers, OK R+61
- East Dayton, MI R+48
- Red Cloud, NE R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.