Cornwall leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 84% of adults in Cornwall typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cornwall, ~49% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cornwall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cornwall leans more Democratic than 61 of 78 neighbors.
Cornwall runs about 14 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cornwall. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+56) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+16), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Cornwall leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cornwall, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in Cornwall hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Cornwall, VT sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cornwall looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cornwall is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Cornwall, VT D+16
- West Salisbury, VT R+2
- Middlebury, VT D+47
- Weybridge Hill, VT D+14
- Whiting, VT D+8
- East Middlebury, VT D+22
- Salisbury, VT R+3
- Cream Hill, VT Even
- Shoreham, VT Even
- Bridport, VT Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Agness, OR R+10
- South Bend, TX R+82
- Mount Ephraim, OH R+62
- Tobin Location, MI R+31
- South Onondaga, NY R+16
- Blackman, FL R+80
- Nicholsville, AL R+50
- Gabe, KY R+72
- Thurber, TX R+77
- Loudenville, WV R+64
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.