East Middlebury leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 84% of adults in East Middlebury typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Middlebury, ~51% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Middlebury compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Middlebury leans more Democratic than 65 of 80 neighbors.
East Middlebury runs about 11 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Middlebury. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+52) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 54 points.
Why East Middlebury leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Middlebury, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in East Middlebury hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; East Middlebury, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in East Middlebury looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. East Middlebury is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Middlebury, VT D+47
- Ripton, VT D+27
- West Salisbury, VT R+2
- Cornwall, VT D+19
- Salisbury, VT R+3
- South Lincoln, VT D+25
- Weybridge Hill, VT D+14
- Weybridge, VT D+23
- West Cornwall, VT D+16
- Leicester, VT R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rosinton, AL R+72
- Hartford, NY R+41
- Sandyville, OH R+56
- Indian Lake, TX R+16
- Evansville, IL R+51
- Bassett, NE R+72
- Cazadero, CA D+43
- Westover, PA R+69
- Lingle, WY R+70
- Bay Port, MI R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.